Authors
Note/Update: Donald Trump won the presidential election in
2016. He did it without winning the
popular vote. He did it on the strength of a very low voter
turnout – 97 million of the eligible 241 million voters sat at home. He did it
by securing only 26% of the voting electorate. Seventy-three percent (73%) of
Americans refused to support him. Trump
is the first president to NEVER achieve a 50% approval or favorable rating or
higher in any polls conducted. He once
again lost the popular vote as well as the presidential election in 2020 by a
large margin. In addition; there have
been eight presidential elections held since 1992. The Republicans have won the popular vote in
only one of those elections. Facts
indicate that Trump and the GOP are NOT popular with the American people.
The
Philadelphia Phillies “Phold of ‘64” may have a rival in the annals of monumental upset surprises. In 1964 the Philadelphia
Phillies surrendered
a 6 ½ game lead with 12 games to play. To
this day that collapse is still considered the worst in sports history.
A
review of current polling shows that in the states where Hillary Clinton is up by 10 points or more –
just those states – provide her with 273 electoral votes. Two hundred seventy (270) are needed to win
the election. Is it feasible that such a
deficit could be overcome in the mere 2 ½ months before election day? If the margin were overcome, in even one of
those states, it would be- like the Phillies “Phold of
‘64”
- unprecedented.
Additionally, GOP campaign issues are
also aiding Hillary Clinton.
George F. Will once said that if the
Republican Party was serious about gaining populous support, they would break
up the Wall Street banks. This wisdom
along with other key concerns have been ignored.
For
example; the party has refused to diminish their support for tax cuts for the
rich or to provide greater market access for the middle class and poor. They say they support government programs to
rebuild our infrastructure. This could
provide thousands of new jobs yet we have no information as to how this would
be funded while they are cutting taxes.
Nor
is the GOP talking about rational plans for repealing impediments that hamper
small and medium size business startups and growth. There is no discussion of
repealing excessive licensing requirements nor suggesting it is time to end
government programs that promote financial engineering and stock buybacks. Also absent is any talk of implementing new
programs that would encourage our richest corporate concerns to hire new
workers or encourage them to make more investments.
When
Republicans talk about health care and repealing the woefully ineffective
Affordable Care Act (ACA), they fail to mention any specifics as to what will
replace it – what ACA measures they would retain and what stronger market
measures they support in correcting the problems. They continue to imply support for a market-based
system and programs refusing to acknowledge that those programs are directly
responsible for our dreadfully inadequate system. There are no proposals for greater
regulations to curb costs or making the system far more transparent or
responsive to health care needs. Just
opposing a single payer universal health care system isn’t enough. The GOP must provide a viable alternative.
They
continue to emphasize cutting the size of government and taxes. Yet, once again, do not state exactly what
they would trim. Nor do they tell us how they will pay for the programs they
support and endorse after reducing taxes.
They refuse to advocate closing corporate loopholes, deductions and
credits – ending corporate welfare – as a method of shrinking the size of
government or as a means of providing additional sources of revenue.
Finally, voters would enthusiastically support these measures and
messages but only if proposed by a respectable, credible messenger. While
Donald Trump has correctly identified some key issues such as; immigration and
securing our borders, income
inequality and economic patriotism,
opposition to trade deals, and the ending of and
staying out of war - all the issues that Washington has refused to address - Donald
Trump has been Hillary Clinton’s best friend.
His outrageous statements and behavior have thoroughly distracted voters
from her nagging controversies. All the signs point to Mr. Trump as being the
wrong messenger.
So, it’s a “NO BRAINER” - like the Phillies – how can Hillary
lose??
For
openers, Americans do not typically elect the same party to hold the presidency
for more than two terms. Two terms for
Presidents Clinton, Bush and Obama. Up
next – A Republican.
Next,
starting in 2008, the Clintons began in earnest to secure Hillary’s nomination
in 2016. The political maneuvering was
so effective it discouraged any opposition within the party from challenging
her coronation. Not only was this
unhealthy for the Democrats and the country but she was the wrong choice for
the party. Repeated polling has
demonstrated Americans do not find her trustworthy or likable indicating they
would have preferred another candidate. The only viable hope for the Republicans, at this point,
is a very low voter turnout. Those
claiming to support a candidate they may not like, must show up at the polls
and vote. If those polled are
disenchanted enough to stay away, then polling information becomes skewed and
thus a moot point.
While it may seem unlikely, the DFL may be on the road to
matching The
Phillies “Phold of ‘64” in 2016.